306
WTNT32 KNHC 131157
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Paulette Intermediate Advisory Number 26A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
800 AM AST Sun Sep 13 2020

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS PAULETTE A LITTLE STRONGER...
...STRONG WINDS...STORM SURGE...AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON
BERMUDA BY THIS EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 61.4W
ABOUT 280 MI...390 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Tropical-storm-force winds that
make outside preparations difficult or dangerous are expected to
reach Bermuda this afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was
located near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 61.4 West. Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A motion
toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected through tonight.
A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is forecast
on Monday, followed by a northeastward motion Monday night and
Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette will move
near or over Bermuda Monday morning.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft recently reported that the
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is
expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it approaches Bermuda late
tonight and early Monday. Some further strengthening is possible
when Paulette turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda late
Monday through Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles (315 km).

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance
aircraft data is 978 mb (28.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by tonight
or early Monday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm
strength this afternoon or evening, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.

RAIN: Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda today
through Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches likely.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto
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