WWIN40 DEMS 040300
IWB (MORNING) DATED 04-10-2020.

THE WITHDRAWAL LINE OF THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS
THROUGH LAT. 28ON/ LONG.82OE, BAHRAICH, GWALIOR, SAWAI MADHOPUR,
JAWAI DAM AND LAT. 25ON/ LONG.70OE. CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING
FAVOURABLE FOR FURTHER WITHDRAWAL OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON FROM ENTIRE
RAJASTHAN, SOME MORE PARTS OF UTTAR PRADESH & MADHYA PRADESH AND SOME
PARTS OF GUJARAT STATE DURING NEXT 2 DAYS. THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER
NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING ODISHA COAST WITH ASSOCIATED
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
TILTING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITH HEIGHT PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTH MAHARASHTRA COAST
BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER GULF OF THAILAND & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 1.5 KM &
4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. A FRESH LOW PRESSURE AREA IS
VERY LIKELY TO FROM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 9TH OCTOBER 2020. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
CENTRAL ASSAM & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH
ODISHA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS
MARKED.

FORECAST:

RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND ODISHA; AT MANY
PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, KONKAN & GOA AND CHHATTISGARH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND KARNATAKA AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT
REGION, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, KERALA & MAHE AND TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

DRY OVER REST OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WARNING :

04 OCTOBER (DAY 1): HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA. MODERATE
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
CHHATTISGARH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ARUNACHAL
PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, KONKAN & GOA AND
INTERIOR KARNATAKA. SQUALLY WEATHER (OCCASIONALLY SPEED REACHING
45-55 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER ODISHA COAST AND OCCASIONALLY WIND SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH ALONG OFF MAHARASHTRA-GOA COAST. FISHERMEN ARE
ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

05 OCTOBER (DAY 2): HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER CHHATTISGARH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA,
ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA. MODERATE THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA,
KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND SOUTH INTERIOR
KARNATAKA.=
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WWIN40 DEMS 021535
IWB (EVENING) DATED 02-11-2020
* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING
BANGLADESH EXTENDING UPTO 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. * THE
WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH PAKISTAN &
ADJOINING PUNJAB BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. THE TROUGH ALOFT IN MID & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES
WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG. 78OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 28ON. ? THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER MALDIVES-COMORIN AREA AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. ? THE
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF NORTH
MAHARASHTRA-SOUTH GUJARAT COASTS BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. ? THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF
SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS(.)

FORECAST:-
RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,
NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND KERALA & MAHE; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER COASTAL KARNATAKA AND SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
SUB-HIMALAYANA WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA,
UTTRAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU & KASHMIR, LADAKH,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD,COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND
TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL (.)

WARNING:
02 NOVEMBER (DAY 1): ? T*UNERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA &
MAHE(.)
03 NOVEMBER (DAY 2): ? H*HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER KERALA & MAHE(.)
*THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
KERALA & MAHE AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL(.)=
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