WWIN40 DEMS 130300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 13-10-2020

THE WITHDRAWAL LINE OF THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON CONTINUES TO PASS
THROUGH LAT. 28ON/LONG.83OE, FAIZABAD, FATEHPUR, NOWGONG, RAJGARH,
RATLAM, VALLABH VIDYANAGAR, PORBANDAR, LAT. 21ON/ LONG.65OE AND
LAT. 21ON/ LONG.60O. THE SYSTEM CROSSED NORTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST
CLOSE TO KAKINADA(NEAR LAT. 17.0ON AND LONG. 82.4OE) BETWEEN 0630
& 0730 HOURS IST OF TODAY, THE 13TH OCTOBER 2020, AS A DEEP
DEPRESSION WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED OF 55-65 KMPH GUSTING
TO 75 KMPH. MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 24 KMPH
DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTRED AT 0830 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE
13TH OCTOBER 2020 NEAR LATITUDE 17ON AND LONGITUDE 82.1OE, ABOUT
15 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KAKINADA (ANDHRA PRADESH) AND 200 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KHAMMAM (TELANGANA). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND WEAKEN INTO A DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 06
HOURS AND FURTHER WEAKEN INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING
THE SUBSEQUENT 12 HOURS. THE TROUGH FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE SYSTEM TO EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ROUGHLY
ALONG LAT. 15ON ACROSS COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, RAYALASEEMA, COASTAL
& NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA BETWEEN 3.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. THE FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE NOW SEEN AS A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER KASHMIR & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 2.1 & 5.8 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER EASTCENTRAL
ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING MAHARASHTRA COAST BETWEEN 0.9 & 2.1 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. REMNANT OF THE CURRENT DEEP DEPRESSION LIKELY
TO EMERGE AS A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER EASTCENTRAL & ADJOINING
NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF NORTH KONKAN-SOUTH GUJARAT COASTS AROUND
15TH OCTOBER, 2020. THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY OF ITS
INTENSIFICATION INTO A DEPRESSION THEREAFTER OVER THE SAME REGION.

FORECAST:-

RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,
KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE; AT MANY
PLACES OVER ODISHA, VIDARBHA, RAYALASEEMA AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER CHHATTISGARH AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL
PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA,
WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION
AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL (.)



DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)



WARNING:

13 OCTOBER (DAY 1): HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT A ISOLATED
PLACES WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY FALLS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES
OVER TELANGANA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER KONKAN & GOA, MARATHAWADA, WESTERN
PARTS OF COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH, KERALA & MAHE AND COASTAL & SOUTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
VIDARBHA, SOUTH CHHATTISGARH, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, ODISHA, ANDAMAN &
NICOBAR ISLANDS, RAYALASEEMA AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.
THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ANDAMAN &
NICOBAR ISLANDS, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, KONKAN & GOA,
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TELANGANA, RAYALASEEMA, KARNATAKA
AND KERALA & MAHE. SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 55-65 KMPH GUSTING
TO 75 KMPH) VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL
AND ALONG & OFF ANDHRA PRADESH COAST DURING NEXT 03 HOURS AND
GRADUALLY DECREASE THEREAFTER BECOMING 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH
DURING SUBSEQUENT 06 HOURS; (SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO
60 KMPH) ALONG & OFF SOUTH ODISHA-TAMIL NADU & PUDUCHERRY COASTS AND
ADJOINING AREAS OF SOUTHWEST & NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT
06 HOURS AND DECREASE THEREAFTER AND OVER GULF OF MANNAR; (SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH) OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA, COMORIN AREA, GULF OF
MANNAR, EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND ALONG & OFF KERALA-KARNATAKA-SOU
TH
MAHARASHTRA-GOA COASTS. SEA CONDITIONS WOULD BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
OVER WESTCENTRAL & ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTHWEST BAY
OF BENGAL AND ALONG & OFF ODISHA-ANDHRA PRADESH-TAMIL NADU &
PUDUCHERRY COASTS TILL 13TH OCTOBER NOON AND OVER GULF OF MANNAR.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

14 OCTOBER (DAY 2): HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT A FEW PLACES
WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY FALLS VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND KONKAN & GOA; HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AT A ISOLATED PLACES WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY FALLS VERY LIKELY AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER MARATHAWADA AND NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA; HEAVY
TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER SOUTHWEST TELANGANA,
COASTAL KARNATAKA AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
VIDARBHA, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, KERALA & MAHE, SOUTH INTERIOR
KARNATAKA AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL. THUNDERSTORM WITH
LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH,
JHARKHAND, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, GUJARAT REGION, MADHYA
MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, KONKAN & GOA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH &
YANAM, TELANGANA, KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE.SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA, EASTCENTRAL
ARABIAN SEA AND ALONG & OFF KERALA-KARNATAKA-SOUTH MAHARASHTRA-GOA
COASTS. SEA CONDITIONS WOULD BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH OVER OVER GULF
OF MANNAR. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=
--- SBBSecho 3.11-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)