WWIN40 DEMS 031200
IWB (EVENING) DATED 03-12-2020

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

THE CYCLONIC STORM BUREVI OVER GULF OF MANNAR CLOSE TO PAMBAN MOVED
WESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 9KMPH DURING PAST SIX HOURS, WEAKENED INTO
A DEEP DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTERED AT 1730 HRS IST OF 03RD DECEMBER
OVER GULF OF MANNAR NEAR LAT. 9.2ON AND LONG. 79.1OE CLOSE TO
RAMANATHAPURAM DISTRICT COAST, ABOUT 20 KM SOUTHWEST OF PAMBAN AND
210 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KANNIYAKUMARI. THE ASSOCIATED WIND SPEED IS
ABOUT 55-65 GUSTING TO 75 KMPH. THE DEEP DEPRESSION WOULD MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS RAMANATHAPURAM AND THOOTHUKUDI
DISTRICTS DURING 3RD DECEMBER NIGHT TO 4TH DECEMBER EARLY HOURS WITH
WIND SPEED OF 50-60 GUSTING TO 70 KMPH. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO WEAKEN
FURTHER INTO A DEPRESSION (WIND SPEED 40-50KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH)
BY TOMORROW, THE 4TH DECEMBER MORNING. \U2666 THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER EAST UTTAR PRADESH & ADJOINING BIHAR EXTENDING UPTO
1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. \U2666 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER MALAY PENINSULA EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. \U2666 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT
WESTERN HIMALAYAN REGION FROM 4TH DECEMBER, 2020. \U2666 ANOTHER
FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
7TH DECEMBER, 2020.

FORECAST:-

RAIN/SNOW AT A FEW PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND JAMMU &
KASHMIR, GILGIT-BALTISTAN, MUZAFFARABAD. RAIN/THUNDERSHOWER AT MOST
PLACES OVER LAKSHADWEEP, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA
& MAHE; AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS; AT A FEW
PLACES OVER COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND SOUTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND COASTAL
KARNATAKA. DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WARNING:-



03 DECEMBER (DAY 1):

HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER TAMILNADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE; HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM.

THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SOUTH INTERIOR
KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL.

DENSE FOG VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NORTH UTTAR PRADESH.

SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 55-65 KMPH GUSTING TO 75 KMPH) VERY
LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG & OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU COAST (KANNIYAKUMARI, TIRUNELVELI, THOOTHUKUDI AND RAMANATHAPURAM DISTRICTS) AND SQUALLY
WINDS (SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH) ALONG & OFF
SOUTH KERALA COAST (THIRUVANANTHAPURAM, KOLLAM, PATHANAMTHITTA AND
ALAPPUZAH DISTRICT) . SEA CONDITION VERY LIKELY TO BE ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH OVER GULF OF MANNAR & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG
& OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU, WEST SRI LANKA COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED
NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

04 DECEMBER (DAY 2):

HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER KERALA & MAHE;
HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTH COASTAL
ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND
LAKSHADWEEP.

THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, LAKSHADWEEP, SOUTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA & MAHE AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL.

DENSE FOG VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR,
MIZORAM & TRIPURA AND ASSAM & MEGHALAYA.

SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY
LIKELY TO PREVAIL ALONG & OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU COAST (KANNIYAKUMARI, TIRUNELVELI, THOOTHUKUDI AND RAMANATHAPURAM DISTRICTS) AND SQUALLY
WINDS (SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH) ALONG & OFF
SOUTH KERALA COAST (THIRUVANANTHAPURAM, KOLLAM, PATHANAMTHITTA AND
ALAPPUZAH DISTRICT). SEA CONDITION VERY LIKELY TO BE ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH OVER COMORIN AREA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA ALONG & OFF
KERALA COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.
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