The coronavirus lockdown is [now] expected to reduce Britain’s death toll
from six figures to 5,700, according to researchers.
Experts at Imperial College London found the unprecedented curbs on daily life means the 260,000 fatalities once feared if the previous less restrictive policy had continued should be avoided.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-uk-death-toll-lockdown-china-imperial-college-a4400431.html
“Our work shows that social distancing is working against Covid-19 as an effective parachute across multiple countries,” Tom Pike, of Imperial, told The Times.
He added: "That’s no reason for us to cut away our parachutes when we’re
still way above the ground."
It comes after modelling by Neil Ferguson, Prof Pike’s colleague at the London university, found the government’s previous social distancing advice could have led to 260,000 deaths, if the pandemic keeps on the same path seen in China.
The analysis also found that Covid-19 could cause 510,000 deaths in the UK if left unchecked, prompting a drastic change in Boris Johnson’s direction
to ban Brits from leaving their homes except for shopping or job essentials.
Prof Ferguson said, when presenting the paper, that he would consider the lockdown a success if deaths kept below 20,000. In the winter of 2017-18 26,000 people died from seasonal flu.
The new paper assesses the effects of social distancing in China, where
the global crisis began and assumes Britain will follow a similar path.
The statisticians’ best estimate for the total number of deaths is 5,700 in Britain, 28,000 deaths in Italy and 46,000 in Spain.
At its peak, Britain will see more than 250 deaths a day - which is far fewer than the 1,300 a day in Italy - according to the research.
“Although there are undoubtedly data issues in the details, the similarity
in trajectories of Italy and China suggest that overall the numbers are likely representative,” Prof Pike said.
Britain’s shut down, brought into force on Monday, follows draconian measures in Italy, Spain and France. Police have been granted powers to fine and arrest those who refuse to comply.
Mr Johnson said it will be imposed for at least three weeks, but didn't rule out extending it if needed.
### - some good news for a change? that either their plans are working,
or, they gots it all wrong to start with heh... either way who cares as long as things are improving eh?
big difference between a quarter of a million deaths to only 5,700 anyway!
= less fatalities overall than seasonal flu!?
smile + carry on at this rate and we'll cure the common cold as well lol :)))
gud! plus in your face corona-boy! git the fuck outta here ya piece of shit!
ahahaha ;)
gud! plus in your face corona-boy! git the fuck outta here ya piece of
shit!
ahahaha ;)
People are getting their wits back about them.
In USA people look askance at people fleeing NYC
and showing up in other states that decided long ago
to take the Covid-19 challenge seriously.
NYC is paying a terrible price for pretending a flusunami wasn't coming.
People are getting their wits back about them.
In USA people look askance at people fleeing NYC
and showing up in other states that decided long ago
to take the Covid-19 challenge seriously.
NYC is paying a terrible price for pretending a flusunami wasn't coming.
### - with 260 fatalities over the last 24 hours (compared to 115 two days ago and 181 yesterday) we's startin' to hit the bigger multiples now in
the uk...
i.e., it took 13 days for the number of deaths in the uk to go from 1 to
just over 100 daily and a further 10 days for the total to go from just
over 100 to just over 1,000...
so it's over the next 7 to 10 days or so that we'll see if that clearly + currently exponential curve really starts to flatten out some or not, meanwhile and in anticipation of a worst case scenario, they's building
huge field hospitals across the country, the one (so far) in londons' xcel center, a single hall nearly a kilometer long, having a capacity of 4,000 beds for example!
no word today from the boris or the health secretary, or the medical professor (who were previously making all the public announcements here)
all of them having now fallen ill to the virus themselves, we're
accordingly seeing their (and other ministers) various deputies faces now instead of the ones we'd become used to seeing during the earlier part of
the crisis? (feels odd that bit)
boris being the first national leader to have become infected with it, everyone's thus kinda silently wondering if he's gonna make it or not?
(place yer bets? nah-nah not this time lol)
well, 'whatever' it is, i guess we're all just about ready for it here now huh...
so bring it on fucker and let's get this crap over with then!
we're ready!
(cheep! cheep! still goin' cheap here boss!)
:)
I posted a medical article on the bright shiny happy thread.
Doctors are preventing not just fatalities but all hospitalizations
with the Hydro & Zythro combo. Resistance is futile the solution is here.
### - more on this story...
https://techstartups.com/2020/03/28/dr-vladimir-zelenko-now-treated-699-coronavirus-patients-100-success-using-hydroxychloroquine-sulfate-zinc-z-pak-update/?fbclid=IwAR0MRfBF1_yScExbHHx-SzAyuH1ItwdjY3x5Na0M7iwVBxHSKbi8rR83huE
am glad to see these articles cropping up (at last!) once people cotton to
it they'll be demanding it!
and quite rightly so too!
all together now: we want the cure! we want the cure!
give us the CURE for the virus dammit! :)))
I posted a medical article on the bright shiny happy thread.
Doctors are preventing not just fatalities but all hospitalizations
with the Hydro & Zythro combo. Resistance is futile the solution is here.
### - and about bloody time too! coz it's scandalous how this has been withheld and not even publicly talked about/discussed here since first mentioned 2 weeks ago??
that said, they actually mentioned it here today hah, some dumbass
professor getting on the tv and saying he's the one in charge of the trial and that they're now moving it on down the line to a slightly worse-off
group etc etc, plus stated there's actually some hope in it and that first results look encouraging but then ends it all by saying/suggesting how irresponsible it would be to just be handing this stuff out without all
these very careful clinical trials so it's prolly gonna take a good while, maybe even months before they can officially approve it???
and which is precisely what prompted my earlier rant! because i somehow 'knew/sensed' at the time while watching him that the fucker was actually taking it himself privately & prolly giving it to his family too! (don't
ask how, i just knew he was being a total fucking hypocrite while only delivering the official line...)
draggin' their fuckin' heels while people are literally dying around
them?? wtf!
the total bastards! (and i have to stop there coz am startin' to lean too
far to the right? haha + gawd only knows what might happen if'n i allow
that crap to come through huh; maybe even hurricanes lol) ;)
and which, imho + observation, is also actually a pretty damn clear reveal
of just how science sometimes (if not a lot of the time) actually
handicaps us humans + blatantly 'stifles' innovation & improvisation due
to its utterly pedantic nature?
lol i hates that! :)))
mainly because there's no room for 'Art' (and thus our humanity) in that oh-so clinical stance??
we gots to change! there's no doubt about it! we need the 'humanity' part
of ourselves back!
if we wanna survive as something more than just empty pedantic automatons that is ;)
(so off with their heads? lol :D but no not really; they just need to be placed in their proper position & setting in life is all: Art over science instead of science over Art; for sanity!)
the total bastards! (and i have to stop there coz am startin' to lean
too
far to the right? haha + gawd only knows what might happen if'n i allow
that crap to come through huh; maybe even hurricanes lol)
8-}' You Funny!
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